Week 6 Monday Night Football Props

Every ZeroChalk read, newest first. Contrarian takes, prop frameworks, market edges, and the weekly fantasy board.



Player props for Saturday night, Oct. 17: Florida State at Miami and Notre Dame at BYU.











All 120 board players ranked by Week 6 expected fantasy points — full-PPR and standard — from Sleeper/rotowire per-week projections. Overall tiers plus QB, RB, WR, and TE boards.

Five plays, one Thursday night game, to give you the edge

Baker Mayfield is out and a rookie takes the snaps in Arlington. Dallas gets its left guard back on the same night. Here is who that actually moves.

Jackson is rostered in 99.8% of ESPN leagues and could miss multiple games. Tyler Huntley is the obvious pickup if he sits, but his scoreless relief stint against Tennessee shows why he isn't a clean fantasy replacement.

Real usage, not box-score noise: who the Week 4 snap counts actually promoted, and who they quietly buried.

6 plays across 1 game to give you the edge

16 plays across 9 games to give you the edge

22 plays across 9 games to give you the edge

Six games made the sheet. A Questionable hamstring the team itself managed, a game-time rib call with a custom pad built for it, and a crowded scramble for scraps behind Minnesota's reshuffled receiver room. Updated Sunday morning: Flowers, Mariota, and the Bears' QB change.

Justin Jefferson is out, Puka Nacua is back, and San Francisco's Mike Evans is strapping his ribs into a padded shirt. Plus: Tuesday's fourteen calls, graded against the real Friday/Saturday designations, no rounding in our favor. Updated Sunday morning with Zay Flowers, Terry McLaurin, Caleb Williams, and the weather.

All 120 board players ranked by Week 5 expected fantasy points — full-PPR and standard — from Sleeper/rotowire per-week projections. Overall tiers plus QB, RB, WR, and TE boards.

We built our own grading model from free, public data instead of renting someone else's grades. It does not beat a coin flip on every metric yet, and we are telling you that up front. Here is what it says about all 32 lines heading into Week 4.

Achane's ACL hands Ollie Gordon a backfield, Brock Bowers and Tyler Higbee turn snap counts into real roles, and three names on the wire are running out of runway.

De'Von Achane's season ended on his third carry Sunday. Three weeks of workload data show exactly what Ollie Gordon inherits, and what he doesn't.

Achane is done for the season, Mayfield is out three weeks, and Breece Hall is week to week. Here's who to pay, how much of your budget to burn, and who to cut.

The season-long tiered board, moved only when something real happens: Achane's torn ACL knocks him off the board, Kyren Williams and Jaylen Warren rise on usage, and Jayden Daniels drops to Tier 6 behind Marcus Mariota's hot streak.

Fourteen Tuesday-morning calls on who plays and who sits before Friday's official word, with four offensive-line situations in Baltimore, San Francisco, Washington, and Cleveland that change the math for the backs and quarterbacks behind them.

Three plays, all in the 3:30 p.m. ET window or later, re-checked live at 1:30 p.m. today because two of the three lines had already moved since this morning. One pick from this morning got cut because its game already kicked off. Informational only. Not betting advice.

Twenty debatable calls for Sunday and Monday's Week 3 slate. No CMC, no Chase, no Gibbs. Injury designations are Saturday's final reports. Confirm inactives before lock.

Three tight-end role plays for Sunday, all reconfirmed live this afternoon: two of the three prices moved since this morning, and one number on our watch list from earlier today couldn't be found where we had it, so we're saying that instead of printing it anyway. Informational only. Not betting advice.

Drake London's target share survived a quarterback change, Caleb Williams won't play Monday, and it's time to move on from Jaxson Dart. Three separate quarterback situations decide this week's list.

All 120 board players ranked by Week 4 expected fantasy points — full-PPR and standard — from Sleeper/rotowire per-week projections. Overall tiers plus QB, RB, WR, and TE boards.

Brock Bowers is questionable coming off a camp knee trim, Moore's shoulder opened a top target share, and Barkley's status is a gametime call. The wire is full. Most rooms are still deciding whether to knock.

One clean role-change lean up top, then a fast pass through all 14 Sunday games for where the injuries move a prop. Direction and reasoning; confirm the posted line before you act.

The Week 2 injuries, O-line holes, and backup starters that move your Sunday lineup. Five matchups, five calls, before inactives lock.

I place a few small bets a week and post every one here, results and all. Two weeks in I'm 6-0, which on short-priced favorites means almost nothing yet. The point is the method and the honesty, not the streak.

Every number here was pulled live from the sportsbooks on Saturday morning, September 19. Twenty-six props across eight games, one marquee in Jordan-Hare, and exactly zero figures we made up in a spreadsheet at 2 a.m. Informational only. Not betting advice.

All 120 board players ranked by Week 3 expected fantasy points — full-PPR and standard — from Sleeper/rotowire per-week projections. Overall tiers plus QB, RB, WR, and TE boards.

Every Week 2 matchup sorted by who to start and who to bench. O-line is the first filter. Rosters verified against 2026 depth charts. Confirm inactives before lock.

Every Week 2 matchup through the trench lens. Lines from ESPN/DraftKings, O-line from PFF 2026 baseline, injuries current as of Sept. 15. Not betting advice.

The trench board. Every offensive line ranked one through 32, in tiers, because the five up front decide whether the skill guys ever touch the ball. Updated weekly and injury-adjusted.

The Week 2 adds that pay are the players who just inherited a role. Injury-driven routes and carries first, brand names never. PPR lean, and confirm inactives before you spend.

Everybody grades the skill guys. We grade the five up front who decide whether the skill guys ever touch the ball. The block-first case for who's a start and who's a sit in Week 2.

Every fantasy-relevant player in the remaining Week 1 slate, with the best start, the most dangerous sit, injury pivots, and a small current-price prop sidebar.

All 120 board players ranked by Week 2 expected fantasy points — full-PPR and standard — from Sleeper/rotowire per-week projections. Overall tiers plus QB, RB, WR, and TE boards.

One backfield is down to a single healthy body, a passing-down back is about to eat a full game of negative script, and half the adds worth making are on the wire because nobody read past the depth chart's top line.

The draft room fell in love in June. The practice reports filed for divorce in August. Here's the gap — matchup and role over name and hype.

120 players, six overall tiers, and a position board for QB, RB, WR, and TE. Full-PPR, season-long, sourced and checked.

Everybody grades the skill guys. We grade the five men who decide whether the skill guys ever touch the ball. This is the block-first case for why a back or a QB is a start or a sit in Week 1.

The draft room fell in love in June. The practice reports filed for divorce in August. This is the gap between the name on the jersey and the role on the depth chart.

The official game-status designations don't land until Friday. Here's our forecast now — who plays, who sits, and where the Wednesday-to-Friday practice arc is the whole tell.

Generic rankings are almost useless in a keeper league. Here's the framework for rebuilding your board after the keeper purge and drafting like you know what's actually available.

A prop line is priced on last season. A player's role changes by Tuesday.

The sportsbook tells you the true probability of every bet. Then it lies to you about it.

A starting RB is sitting free in 80% of leagues, two handcuff leads are a Wednesday claim away, and the wire is deeper than your draft was.

Three backfields, two bad ankles, and one starting RB sitting in 80% of your leagues for free.

A framework for reading prop lines the way a sharp reads usage, with three worked example reads.

Favorite-longshot bias. Overreaction lag. Base-rate neglect. Here's how ZeroChalk exploits each.